BJP must concentrate on UP, Bihar if it wants to come to power

BJP must concentrate on UP, Bihar if it wants to come to power

The upcoming General Election is very crucial. Its outcome will determine the future of the country. Another victory of the Sonia Congress would mean the victory of forces inimical to the vital socio-cultural, politico-economic and paramount strategic interests of India and acceleration of a process that would ultimately lead to the disintegration of the country. The socio-economic and political policies of the Congress-dominated UPA Government have already caused an extensive damage and helped foreign countries like China and MNCs in establishing their strong hold over the economic organisation of India.

Besides, those who have been controlling the vital South Block since 2004 have willfully jeopardised the country’s geo-political and strategic interests. No wonder then that the Congress’s policies have created a widespread disappointment and dissatisfaction among all, except within in a limited circle comprising Sonia and her coterie, a section of bureaucracy, mafia and corporate world – all looting and fleecing the hapless population and plundering the country’s natural resources.

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The truth is that the Congress represents an evil as well as an ideology that sharpens angularities between castes and communities, pits followers of one religion against the other, hampers the process of nation-building and creates hatred for the majority community. Another truth is that the Congress has subverted all the institutions which were handed down to India by the British imperialists and that the Congress has destroyed India socially, culturally, economically and political more as compared to England. It has stooped so low that it has even pitted the Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI) against the Intelligence Bureau (IB) so that the Gujarat Chief Minister and the chairman of BJP Election Campaign Committee Narendra Modi and former Minister of State for Home Affairs in the Modi Government Amit Shah are framed in the June 15, 2005 Ishrat Jahan encounter case. The single-point agenda of the UPA is to make sure that Narendra Modi doesn’t play any role in the upcoming General Election, as it feels, and rightly, that the entry of the Gujarat Chief Minister in the national electoral arena would sealing its fate.

If the Congress represents an evil and fascist ideology, the credentials of outfits like the SP, the BSP, the JDU, the RJD, the LJP, the NCP, the CPI, the CPI-M and so on are no better. They are all one as far as their social, religious and political views are concerned. It would not be out of place to mention that the “Congress of termites” and UPA Government have been surviving and thriving since July 2008 solely on the overt and covert support of fake secular outfits, minority-appeasers and enemies of the majority community.  All these outfits are equally responsible for the damage the Congress and the Congress-dominated UPA have caused to the Indian polity, society and economy. If India is to survive as one nation and attain a status in the comity of self-respecting nations, the nation has to reduce the Congress and the outfits like the SP, the BSP, the JDU, the RJD, the LJP, the NCP, the CPI and the CPI-M to a nullity through ballot and it can do that and rid the country of the Congress’s anti-India rule for ever.


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Fortunately, a credible and tested alternative is available.

The BJP-led NDA is that alternative and Narendra Modi the best leader to lead the nation, which is going through a critical phase. Almost all the pre-poll surveys have already predicted a victory of the BJP-led NDA and suggested that the BJP and its allies would improve their position very substantially in case Narendra Modi is projected as a Prime Ministerial candidate. One of the surveys even stated that the BJP would win 220 seats on its own in case the party fights the General Election under the leadership of Narendra Modi.

However, it would be suicidal to depend on the findings of these pre-poll surveys and go complacent. Complacency would mean defeat of the national cause. The BJP leadership has recognised this reality and has begun to make preparations in right earnest under the able, skillful and inspiring leadership of Narendra Modi. The electoral chances for the BJP and NDA are quite bright in such States, Union Territories and provinces as Gujarat, Maharashtra, Goa, Madhya Pradesh, Chattisgarh, Rajasthan, Delhi, Haryana, Punjab, Himachal Pradesh, Chandigarh, Jammu, Uttarakhand and Jharkhand. The prevailing political situation in Karnataka, Odisha and Assam also favours the BJP to an appreciable extent. The BJP can even replicate 2009 in Karnataka in the coming elections and win a minimum of 20 seats provided former Chief Minister B S Yedddyurappa is brought into the party fold ahead of the Lok Sabha election.

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These States, Union Territories and Jammu province return to the Lok Sabha 267 members. The two other States which can really help the BJP to dislodge the UPA are the crucial Uttar Pradesh (UP) and Bihar that elect as many as 120 members to the Lok Sabha. UP elects 80 members and Bihar 40. In 2009, the BJP could capture only 22 seats in UP and Bihar. These are the only States on which the BJP and the NDA have to largely depend. For, the BJP has insignificant presence in Tamil Nadu, West Bengal, Andhra Pradesh, Kerala and North-eastern States like Manipur, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Sikkim, Tripura and Manipur. These States return to the Lok Sabha 152 members. It is difficult to say that the BJP would win even half a dozen seats in all these States because the political chemistry in these States is such. The BJP will take time to make inroads in these States.

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Thus, the BJP has no other option but to concentrate on UP, Bihar, Gujarat, Maharashtra, Goa, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan, Delhi, Haryana, Punjab, Himachal Pradesh, Chandigarh, Jammu province, Uttarakhand and Jharkhand, UP, Bihar, Assam, Karnataka and Odisha, which together means 387 seats. The BJP can win elections in these States, including the very crucial UP, hands down provided it is willing to completely ignore the ongoing fake secularists’ no-holds-barred campaign against it and goes to the polls with six nation-building and State-building planks – cultural nationalism/integral humanism, unity and territorial integrity of the country, good governance, Ram Temple, Article 370 and Uniform Civil Code. These were the issues which helped the BJP increase its tally from a paltry two in 1984 to 182 in 1999. In 1999, the BJP captured more than 50 seats from UP alone.

The decline of the BJP started in 1999 itself, when it entered into an alliance with parties whose concept of India and on India were similar to that of the Congress, the Left and other pseudo-secular outfits and formed NDA to form the Government at the Centre. The BJP was the only party that abandoned its age-old planks – an act that made its constituency and supporters describe the BJP as the other face of the Congress.

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A reference here to just one classical example indicating a radical change in the attitude of the people of Jammu province towards the BJP would be enough to clinch the whole issue and establish that the BJP lost its sheen and appeal in 1999 after it compromised its ideology. Between 1996 and 1999, the BJP won Jammu-Poonch Parliamentary constituency twice in a row with a massive mandate and Kathua-Udhampur-Doda Parliamentary constituency thrice in a row with a huge margin defeating the Congress and National Conference candidates. But the BJP suffered massive defeats in both these constituencies at the hands of the Congress in the 2004 and 2009 General Elections.

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The people of Jammu province, like others in the rest of the country are all for Narendra Modi, the BJP and the NDA, but they, at the same time, want the BJP to contest the upcoming General Election on the planks referred to above. It is their firm belief that the BJP will decimate the Congress and rid the country of the Congress’s gross misrule subject to the condition that it conducts itself in the manner it conducted between 1980 and 1999. Their belief is well-founded. The BJP leadership must appreciate the people’s belief in the larger national interest. Even otherwise, it has no other alternative considering the fact that the minorities, especially the Muslim minority, never voted for the BJP even when ‘liberal-minded’ Atal Bihari Vajpayee reigned supreme in the party.


Disclaimer: Opinions expressed in this article are the author's personal opinions. Information, facts or opinions shared by the Author do not reflect the views of Niti Central and Niti Central is not responsible or liable for the same. The Author is responsible for accuracy, completeness, suitability and validity of any information in this article.


ABOUT AUTHOR

Hari Om

Former Dean, Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Jammu; former Member of Indian Council of Historical Research; author of six books, including Beyond the Kashmir Valley; co-author of four books, including Burning Issues in Jammu & Kashmir and NCERT-sponsored Contemporary India; Writing on contemporary issues since March 1990.

 
 
 
 
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