BJP-led NDA to win 233 Lok Sabha seats, UPA to end up with 119 seats: Nielsen Opinion poll
Just a little more than a week ahead of voting for the Lok Sabha election, an Opinion poll conducted by Nielsen has projected that BJP-led NDA will win 233 seats while the Congress-led UPA will end up with 119 seats if the voting was held today. Left parties may get 23 seats while Others could win 168 seats, the survey said.
The BJP alone may win 209 seats, while Congress is set to witness a humiliating defeat with its tally crashing down to 91 from 206 of 2009. This will be the lowest tally of the Congress since Independence. West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee’s TMC is predicted to emerge as the third largest party in the 16th Lok Sabha by winning 28 seats.
In Uttar Pradesh, which elects 80 seats in UP, the BJP is predicted to win 38, Congress-RLD combine 11, BSP 17, SP 12, AAP 1 while 1 seat could go to Others.
In Karnataka (28 seats), the BJP is predicted to win 15 seats while Congress, which is in power in the State, would win 10 seats while three seats would go to former Prime Minister HD Deve Gowda’s JDS.
In Kerala, which elects 20 Lok Sabha members, CPM would win 5 seats, Congress 8, CPI 2, KEC 1, MUL 3 and KEC (M) could 1 seat.
In Tamil Nadu, which elects 39 Lok Sabha members, ruling AIADMK is predicted to win 21 seats, DMK 10, MDMK 2, BJP 1, Congress 1, CPI 1, PMK 1 and Others 2.
In Chhattisgarh, which elects 11 Lok Sabha members, ruling BJP could win 9 seats while Congress may get 2.
In Rajasthan, which elects 25 Lok Sabha members, the BJP is predicted to win 20 seats while Congress may win 5.
In Gujarat, which elects 26 Lok Sabha members, the BJP may win 21 seats while Congress is expected to win 5 seats.
In Madhya Pradesh, which elects 29 Lok Sabha members, the BJP is expected to win 23 seats, Congress 5 and BSP 1.
In Maharashtra, which elects 48 Lok Sabha members, the BJP is predicted to win 19 while its ally Shiv Sena is could win 12 seats. Congress could win 8 seats while its ally NCP may win 5 seats in the State. Raj Thackeray’s MNS is predicted to win 1 seat in the State. Three seats could go to others.
It is to be noted that BJP had won 9 seats while Shiv Sena had got 11 seats in Maharashtra in 2009. Congress had won 17 seats while its ally NCP had bagged 8 seats in the State in the last general election.
In Bihar, which elects 40 Lok Sabha members, BJP is projected to win 19 seats while its ally Ram Vilas Paswan’s LJP is predicted to win 2 seats. The survey predicts a humiliating defeat for the ruling JDU which is predicted to end up with just 6 seats. Former Chief Minister Lalu Prasad’s RJD, which had won 4 seats in the State in 2009, could increase its tally to 10 in 2014 if election was to be held today, the survey said. RJD’s ally Congress is predicted to win two seats in the State. One seat could go to Others.
In West Bengal, which elects 42 Lok Sabha members, ruling TMC may win 28 seats, Left Parties are expected to win 10 seats, BJP 1 and Congress 3.
In Delhi, which elects 7 Lok Sabha members, BJP may win 3, AAP 3, and one seat could go to Congress.
In Jharkhand, which elects 14 Lok Sabha members, BJP is projected to win 10 seats, JMM 1 and Congress 1, Others could bag 2 seats.
In Orissa, which elects 21 Lok Sabha members, BJD is expected to win 17 seats, BJP 2 and two seats could go to Congress.
In Assam, which elects 14 Lok Sabha members, the Congress could win 8 seats, BJP could bag 3 and AGP , BPF, AUDF are likely to get 1 seat each.
In Haryana, which elects 10 Lok Sabha members, the BJP is expected to win 9 and 1 seat could go to Congress.
In Punjab, which elects 13 Lok Sabha members, SAD is expected to win 5 seats, the BJP is predicted to win 2 seats while 6 seats could go to Congress.
In Jammu & Kashmir, which elects 6 Lok Sabha members, Congress may win 3 seats, BJP 1, PDP 1 while 2 seats could go to Others.
In Himachal Pradesh, which elects 4 Lok Sabha members, the BJP is predicted to sweep on all 4 seats.
Similarily, the BJP is predicted to win all 5 seats of Uttarakhand.
Niticentral Staff is a Guest Contributor at Niti Central.